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<h2>Thu Oct 2, 2025 Wx Discussion:  David Ovens</h2>

<ul>

##
## A SAMPLE LINK:
##<LI> <A HREF='http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/SREF/SREF.html'>NCEP Short Range Ensemble Page</A>

## A SAMPLE LOOP. For each loop, create a subdirectory of 
##  /home/disk/funnel/atmos/data/wxdisc/YYYYMMDD (where YYYYMMDD is the 
##  date of your discussion) for all images to be looped. 
##<LI> <A HREF='/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?/home/disk/funnel/atmos/data/wxdisc/sample/2003123012fcsts+all'>Long Range Forecasts of Snow Storm</A> 
<h3>Big Picture</h3>
<li><a href=https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?impacts_color+/3d/>Hurricanes Imelda and Humberto</a> <a href=https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loop.html?&looptype=impacts_color&looptime=/3d/>Hurricanes Imelda and Humberto, new looper</a>
<li><a href='https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?npole_h500+/-168/240/'>GFS 500-mb Heights</a> <a href='https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loop.html?&looptype=npole_h500&looptime=/-168/240/'>GFS 500-mb Heights new looper</a>

<h3>Recent Past, PacNW Lightning and Current Situation</h3>
<li>h500 and Obs
<li>Yesterday's UW WRF CAPE and lightning forecasts
<li><a href=/~ovens/loop.html?&looptype=sat_west_uw_color_ltng&looptime=2025100218/24h/>sat and lightning loop</a> show locations with opacity slider
<li>Salem Sounding
<li><a href='https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?/home/disk/data/images/+4+-pat+(sat_upr_full|sat_sfc_full)/2025100215.*.gif'>Sat + Obs</a>

<h3>Rainfall and Rain Shadow around the Olympic Mountains</h3>
<li> <a href=https://www.cocorahs.org/Maps/>Obs from CoCoRaHS</a>
<li> <a href=https://weather.gov>NWS</a> Rivers,Lakes,Rainfall (National Water Prediction
    Service), More Water Information, Precipitation Estimate, Last 7 days
 <a href='https://water.noaa.gov/#@=-96.401081,38.1465724,3.8733282&b=topographic&g=obsFcst,0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0!0,0.5,1!1!1!1!0,0,0,false&ab=0,0,#D94B4A,1,1,1,#000000,1,0,0,#B243B1,1,0,0,#98E09A,1,false&a=hide,0.35,false&s=0,0,0.9,0.9,false&n=false,#72afe9,0.9,0,0.9,0,0.9,false&p=true,0.75,0,13,0,1,2025,10,1,0,true&d=0,0,1,1,1,1,1,1,#006EFF,1,#006EFF,1,#006EFF,false&q='>7-day precip estimate</a>
<li><a href='http://www.weather.gov/wrh/hazards?&zoom=8&scroll_zoom=false&center=47.63376447960662,-122.15527492116908&boundaries=false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false&tab=observation&hazard=true&hazard_type=all&hazard_opacity=80&obs=true&obs_type=precip&precip_interval=1&precip_filter=0.01,30&obs_popup=false&obs_density=60&obs_provider=ALL'>Mapped Station Precip Obs from NWS and others</a>
<li><a href='/wrfrt'>How did the WRF do? Accumulated Precip from 12Z Sep 29 run</a>

<h3>Did anyone else smell smoke this morning at UW?</h3>
<li><a href=''>Purple Air Map</a>
<li><a href=''>HRRR Smoke</a>
<li><a href='https://inciweb.wildfire.gov'>Inciweb Active Fires</a>
<li><a href='/wrfrt/otherdates.html'>WRF trajectories on AQ page 00Z Oct 2 run</a>
 Bear Gulch at hour 18?
 Back Trajectories to SeaTac

<h3>Forecast</h3>
<h4>Short Term</h4>
<li>More Thunderstorms Possible<a href='https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wrfd3_lightning+2025100212///3'>WRF 4-km Lightning</a>
<li><a href=https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wrfd3_wa_pcp3+2025100212///3>WRF 4-km 3-hr Precip, WA</a>
<h4>Long Range</h4>
<LI> <A HREF='https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wrfd1_x_ivt+///6'>IVT, UW WRF 36-km</a>
<li><a href=https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wrfd1_slp+///3>SLP, UW WRF 36-km</a>
<LI> <A HREF='https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wrfd1_x_pcp24+00///24'>24-hour rainfall, UW WRF</a>

<h3>Additional topics</h3>
<li> <a href=https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?West>U.S. Drought Monitor</a>
<li><a href=https://www.nwrfc.noaa.gov/weather/10_day.cgi>10-day Precip and Snow Forecasts from NW River Forecast Center</a> compare to <a href=https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wrfd3_pcp24+2025100212///24>WRF 4-km 24-hr Precip</a>
<li><https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/data/TC/TCfreq_global_1979-2012.png>Tropical Cyclone Climatology Map</a>

</ul>

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